Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Radiologists in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 79% of today's radiologists tasks by 2036, and there is a 32% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
38%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
96
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
12% 2030 · 32% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 16%2027: 19%2028: 23%2029: 30%2030: 38%2031: 47%2032: 57%2033: 65%2034: 72%2035: 76%2036: 79%38%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 992029: 982030: 962031: 932032: 912033: 892034: 872035: 862036: 8696
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

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Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "Radiologists" (SOC 29-1224.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 98%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10