Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Physics Teachers, Postsecondary in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 59% of today's physics teachers, postsecondary tasks by 2036, and there is a 33% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
31%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
95
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
14% 2030 · 33% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.7 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 16%2027: 18%2028: 21%2029: 25%2030: 31%2031: 38%2032: 44%2033: 50%2034: 54%2035: 58%2036: 59%31%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 972030: 952031: 932032: 912033: 892034: 872035: 862036: 8695
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 24 O*NET tasks for "Physics Teachers, Postsecondary" (SOC 25-1054.00). LLM alone: 12% of tasks; with AI tools: 72%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10