Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Opticians, Dispensing in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 40% of today's opticians, dispensing tasks by 2036, and there is a 7% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
21%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
101
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 7% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.3 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 11%2027: 13%2028: 15%2029: 17%2030: 21%2031: 25%2032: 30%2033: 33%2034: 36%2035: 38%2036: 40%21%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1012027: 1012028: 1012029: 1012030: 1012031: 1012032: 1002033: 1002034: 1002035: 1002036: 101101
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Ophthalmic Laboratory Technicians · Ophthalmic Medical Technicians · Optometrists · Ophthalmic Medical Technologists

Based on 21 O*NET tasks for "Opticians, Dispensing" (SOC 29-2081.00). LLM alone: 10% of tasks; with AI tools: 48%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10