Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 6% of today's operating engineers and other construction equipment operators tasks by 2036, and there is a 6% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
4%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
101
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 6% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 3%2027: 3%2028: 3%2029: 3%2030: 4%2031: 4%2032: 5%2033: 5%2034: 5%2035: 6%2036: 6%4%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1012028: 1012029: 1012030: 1012031: 1012032: 1022033: 1022034: 1022035: 1022036: 103101
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

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Based on 28 O*NET tasks for "Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators" (SOC 47-2073.00). LLM alone: 4% of tasks; with AI tools: 7%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10