Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 72% of today's medical scientists, except epidemiologists tasks by 2036, and there is a 33% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
38%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
95
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
14% 2030 · 33% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.8 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 21%2027: 23%2028: 27%2029: 32%2030: 38%2031: 46%2032: 54%2033: 61%2034: 66%2035: 69%2036: 72%38%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 972030: 952031: 932032: 912033: 892034: 872035: 862036: 8695
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Epidemiologists · Microbiologists · Biochemists and Biophysicists · Biologists

Based on 14 O*NET tasks for "Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists" (SOC 19-1042.00). LLM alone: 18% of tasks; with AI tools: 86%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10