Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Manicurists and Pedicurists in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 10% of today's manicurists and pedicurists tasks by 2036, and there is a 5% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
6%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
102
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
6% 2030 · 5% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 4%2027: 4%2028: 5%2029: 5%2030: 6%2031: 7%2032: 8%2033: 8%2034: 9%2035: 9%2036: 10%6%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1012028: 1012029: 1022030: 1022031: 1022032: 1032033: 1032034: 1032035: 1042036: 104102
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 18 O*NET tasks for "Manicurists and Pedicurists" (SOC 39-5092.00). LLM alone: 6% of tasks; with AI tools: 11%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10