Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Intelligence Analysts in 2026?

High exposure. AI could handle about 79% of today's intelligence analysts tasks by 2036, and there is a 57% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
40%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
92
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
18% 2030 · 57% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.7 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 19%2027: 22%2028: 26%2029: 32%2030: 40%2031: 49%2032: 58%2033: 66%2034: 72%2035: 77%2036: 79%40%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 982028: 972029: 952030: 922031: 892032: 852033: 822034: 802035: 792036: 7892
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

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Based on 20 O*NET tasks for "Intelligence Analysts" (SOC 33-3021.06). LLM alone: 9% of tasks; with AI tools: 97%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10