All occupations › Installation, maintenance & repairCan AI Replace Industrial Machinery Mechanics in 2026? Lower exposure. AI could handle about 31% of today's industrial machinery mechanics tasks by 2036, and there is a 9% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
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Timeline Year 2030 Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 9% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.2 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 13% 2027: 14% 2028: 15% 2029: 17% 2030: 19% 2031: 22% 2032: 25% 2033: 27% 2034: 29% 2035: 30% 2036: 31% 19% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 100 2027: 100 2028: 100 2029: 100 2030: 100 2031: 99 2032: 99 2033: 99 2034: 98 2035: 98 2036: 99 100 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
You 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Repair or maintain the operating condition of industrial production or processing machinery or equipment. 2 Repair or replace broken or malfunctioning components of machinery or equipment. 3 Clean, lubricate, or adjust parts, equipment, or machinery. 4 Study blueprints or manufacturers' manuals to determine correct installation or operation of machinery. 5 Assign schedules to work crews. 6 Analyze test results, machine error messages, or information obtained from operators to diagnose equipment problems. 7 Record repairs and maintenance performed. 8 Enter codes and instructions to program computer-controlled machinery. 9 Record parts or materials used and order or requisition new parts or materials, as necessary. Based on 16 O*NET tasks for "Industrial Machinery Mechanics" (SOC 49-9041.00). LLM alone: 19% of tasks; with AI tools: 36%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
