All occupations › Transportation & material movingCan AI Replace Hoist and Winch Operators in 2026? Lower exposure. AI could handle about 0% of today's hoist and winch operators tasks by 2036, and there is a 8% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
See how not to be replaced
Timeline Year 2030 Headcount (2025 = 100)
100
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
8% 2030 · 8% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 0% 2027: 0% 2028: 0% 2029: 0% 2030: 0% 2031: 0% 2032: 0% 2033: 0% 2034: 0% 2035: 0% 2036: 0% 0% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 100 2027: 100 2028: 100 2029: 100 2030: 100 2031: 100 2032: 100 2033: 100 2034: 100 2035: 100 2036: 100 100 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
You 1 2 3
Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Move levers, pedals, and throttles to stop, start, and regulate speeds of hoist or winch drums in response to hand, bell, buzzer, telephone, loud-speaker, or whistle… 2 Start engines of hoists or winches and use levers and pedals to wind or unwind cable on drums. 3 Observe equipment gauges and indicators and hand signals of other workers to verify load positions or depths. Your plan Ticks are saved in this browser only.
Get visibly better at your human core: "Move levers, pedals, and throttles to stop, start, and regulate speeds of hoist or winch drums in response to hand, bell, buzzer, telephone, loud-speaker, or whistle…". Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output. Based on 13 O*NET tasks for "Hoist and Winch Operators" (SOC 53-7041.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 0%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
