Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 68% of today's geoscientists, except hydrologists and geographers tasks by 2036, and there is a 37% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
35%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
94
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
14% 2030 · 37% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.8 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 18%2027: 20%2028: 23%2029: 28%2030: 35%2031: 43%2032: 50%2033: 57%2034: 62%2035: 65%2036: 68%35%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 962030: 942031: 922032: 902033: 882034: 862035: 852036: 8494
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Geological Technicians, Except Hydrologic Technicians · Mining and Geological Engineers, Including Mining Safety Engineers · Industrial Ecologists · Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health

Based on 32 O*NET tasks for "Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers" (SOC 19-2042.00). LLM alone: 11% of tasks; with AI tools: 82%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10