Can AI Replace Data Scientists in 2026?
Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 86% of today's data scientists tasks by 2036, and there is a 48% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.
Timeline
Tasks AI can do
53%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
93
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
16% 2030 · 48% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
4.7 roles
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Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills
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Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks
- Mathematicians — 25% chance of contraction by 2036
- Bioinformatics Technicians — 36% chance of contraction by 2036
- Software Developers — 28% chance of contraction by 2036
Similar occupations
Statisticians · Operations Research Analysts · Biostatisticians · Bioinformatics Scientists
Based on 16 O*NET tasks for "Data Scientists" (SOC 15-2051.00). LLM alone: 50% of tasks; with AI tools: 100%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10