Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Crane and Tower Operators in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 22% of today's crane and tower operators tasks by 2036, and there is a 11% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
13%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
99
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
9% 2030 · 11% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 8%2027: 9%2028: 10%2029: 11%2030: 13%2031: 15%2032: 17%2033: 19%2034: 21%2035: 22%2036: 22%13%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1002029: 992030: 992031: 982032: 982033: 982034: 972035: 972036: 9799
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 11 O*NET tasks for "Crane and Tower Operators" (SOC 53-7021.00). LLM alone: 11% of tasks; with AI tools: 26%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10