Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Counter and Rental Clerks in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 68% of today's counter and rental clerks tasks by 2036, and there is a 52% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
38%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
92
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
18% 2030 · 52% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.6 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 23%2027: 25%2028: 28%2029: 32%2030: 38%2031: 45%2032: 52%2033: 58%2034: 63%2035: 66%2036: 68%38%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 992027: 982028: 972029: 952030: 922031: 892032: 862033: 842034: 822035: 802036: 7992
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 16 O*NET tasks for "Counter and Rental Clerks" (SOC 41-2021.00). LLM alone: 26% of tasks; with AI tools: 81%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10