All occupations › Installation, maintenance & repairCan AI Replace Commercial Divers in 2026? Lower exposure. AI could handle about 11% of today's commercial divers tasks by 2036, and there is a 6% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.
See how not to be replaced
Timeline Year 2030 Headcount (2025 = 100)
101
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 6% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0% 50% 100% 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 2% 2027: 3% 2028: 3% 2029: 4% 2030: 5% 2031: 6% 2032: 8% 2033: 9% 2034: 10% 2035: 10% 2036: 11% 5% Share of today's tasks AI can perform 40 80 120 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2026: 100 2027: 100 2028: 101 2029: 101 2030: 101 2031: 101 2032: 101 2033: 101 2034: 101 2035: 101 2036: 102 101 Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line) Your survival map Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.
You 1 2 3 4 5 6
Tap a number on the map or a task below.
1 Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin. 2 Check and maintain diving equipment, such as helmets, masks, air tanks, harnesses, or gauges. 3 Communicate with workers on the surface while underwater, using signal lines or telephones. 4 Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still… 5 Operate underwater video, sonar, recording, or related equipment to investigate underwater structures or marine life. 6 Take test samples or photographs to assess the condition of vessels or structures. Your plan Ticks are saved in this browser only.
Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still…". Get visibly better at your human core: "Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin". Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output. Based on 25 O*NET tasks for "Commercial Divers" (SOC 49-9092.00). LLM alone: 0% of tasks; with AI tools: 13%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10
