Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 6% of today's coating, painting, and spraying machine setters, operators, and tenders tasks by 2036, and there is a 13% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
3%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
98
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
10% 2030 · 13% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 2%2027: 2%2028: 2%2029: 3%2030: 3%2031: 4%2032: 4%2033: 5%2034: 5%2035: 5%2036: 6%3%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 992029: 982030: 982031: 972032: 972033: 962034: 962035: 952036: 9598
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Based on 30 O*NET tasks for "Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders" (SOC 51-9124.00). LLM alone: 2% of tasks; with AI tools: 7%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10