Can AI Replace Bridge and Lock Tenders in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 26% of today's bridge and lock tenders tasks by 2036, and there is a 11% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

Year2030

Tasks AI can do

19%

Headcount (2025 = 100)

Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs

9% 2030 · 11% 2036

One person could cover, 2036

1.2 roles

Share of today's tasks AI can perform

Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.

Your human coreDo it with AIHand to AI

Tap a number on the map or a task below.

Your plan

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Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Record names, types, and destinations of vessels passing through bridge openings or locks, and numbers of trains or vehicles crossing bridges".Get visibly better at your human core: "Control machinery to open and close canal locks and dams, railroad or highway drawbridges, or horizontally or vertically adjustable bridges".Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output.

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Based on 18 O*NET tasks for "Bridge and Lock Tenders" (SOC 53-6011.00). LLM alone: 29% of tasks; with AI tools: 29%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10