Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Bartenders in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 24% of today's bartenders tasks by 2036, and there is a 12% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
14%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
99
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
9% 2030 · 12% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 9%2027: 9%2028: 10%2029: 12%2030: 14%2031: 16%2032: 18%2033: 20%2034: 22%2035: 23%2036: 24%14%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 992029: 992030: 992031: 982032: 982033: 972034: 972035: 962036: 9699
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers · Waiters and Waitresses · Food Preparation Workers · Food Service Managers

Based on 20 O*NET tasks for "Bartenders" (SOC 35-3011.00). LLM alone: 11% of tasks; with AI tools: 28%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10