Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Astronomers in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 66% of today's astronomers tasks by 2036, and there is a 39% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI both assists and takes over tasks.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
33%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
94
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
15% 2030 · 39% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
1.9 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 16%2027: 18%2028: 21%2029: 27%2030: 33%2031: 41%2032: 49%2033: 55%2034: 60%2035: 64%2036: 66%33%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 962030: 942031: 912032: 892033: 872034: 852035: 842036: 8394
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Physicists · Atmospheric, Earth, Marine, and Space Sciences Teachers, Postsecondary · Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health · Political Scientists

Based on 17 O*NET tasks for "Astronomers" (SOC 19-2011.00). LLM alone: 6% of tasks; with AI tools: 81%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10