Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians in 2026?

Lower exposure. AI could handle about 15% of today's aircraft mechanics and service technicians tasks by 2036, and there is a 6% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI mostly assists people in this role.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
9%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
101
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
7% 2030 · 6% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
~1 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 6%2027: 7%2028: 7%2029: 8%2030: 9%2031: 11%2032: 12%2033: 13%2034: 14%2035: 15%2036: 15%9%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 1002028: 1012029: 1012030: 1012031: 1012032: 1012033: 1012034: 1012035: 1012036: 101101
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Aviation Inspectors · Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers · Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines · Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics

Based on 38 O*NET tasks for "Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians" (SOC 49-3011.00). LLM alone: 9% of tasks; with AI tools: 18%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10