Replacemeter

Can AI Replace Aerospace Engineers in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 77% of today's aerospace engineers tasks by 2036, and there is a 42% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

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Timeline

2030
Tasks AI can do
42%
Headcount (2025 = 100)
94
Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs
15% 2030 · 42% 2036
One person could cover, 2036
2.4 roles
0%50%100%2026202820302032203420362026: 23%2027: 25%2028: 29%2029: 35%2030: 42%2031: 50%2032: 58%2033: 66%2034: 71%2035: 75%2036: 77%42%
Share of today's tasks AI can perform
40801202026202820302032203420362026: 1002027: 992028: 982029: 962030: 942031: 912032: 892033: 862034: 842035: 832036: 8394
Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

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Similar occupations

Mechanical Engineers · Architectural and Engineering Managers · Manufacturing Engineers · Software Developers

Based on 18 O*NET tasks for "Aerospace Engineers" (SOC 17-2011.00). LLM alone: 21% of tasks; with AI tools: 93%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10