Can AI Replace Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers in 2026?

Moderate exposure. AI could handle about 70% of today's administrative law judges, adjudicators, and hearing officers tasks by 2036, and there is a 38% chance the number of jobs falls by a fifth or more. AI is likely to take over many tasks outright.

See how not to be replaced

Timeline

Year2030

Tasks AI can do

37%

Headcount (2025 = 100)

Chance of 20%+ fewer jobs

14% 2030 · 38% 2036

One person could cover, 2036

2.3 roles

Share of today's tasks AI can perform

Headcount index, 2025 = 100 (dashed line)

Your survival map

Not every part of your job is at the same risk. Tap a number to see what to do about each task.

Your human coreDo it with AIHand to AI

Tap a number on the map or a task below.

Lower-risk jobs that use similar skills

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives23% risk by 2036 Customs and Border Protection Officers23% risk by 2036 Occupational Health and Safety Technicians27% risk by 2036

Your plan

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Try an AI tool on one task you'd normally do by hand: "Prepare written opinions and decisions".Learn one AI tool well enough to show it in an interview, for: "Authorize payment of valid claims and determine method of payment".Get visibly better at your human core: "Monitor and direct the activities of trials and hearings to ensure that they are conducted fairly and that courts administer justice while safeguarding the legal rights…".Rewrite the top of your CV around judgment, people and decisions, not routine output.Read about a lower-risk move: First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives.

Lower-risk jobs with similar tasks

First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives — 23% chance of contraction by 2036
Customs and Border Protection Officers — 23% chance of contraction by 2036
Occupational Health and Safety Technicians — 27% chance of contraction by 2036

Similar occupations

Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators · Lawyers · Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates · Judicial Law Clerks

Based on 14 O*NET tasks for "Administrative Law Judges, Adjudicators, and Hearing Officers" (SOC 23-1021.00). LLM alone: 15% of tasks; with AI tools: 85%. Projections are a model, not official statistics. How we calculate this · Data version 2026-10